{"id":1798,"date":"2025-12-14T07:44:33","date_gmt":"2025-12-14T04:14:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/anlamtv.com\/?p=1798"},"modified":"2025-12-14T07:44:33","modified_gmt":"2025-12-14T04:14:33","slug":"rusiya-b%c9%99ssar-es%c9%99d%c9%99-artiq-s%c9%99ni-qorumaq-mumkun-deyil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/anlamtv.com\/az\/rusiya-b%c9%99ssar-es%c9%99d%c9%99-artiq-s%c9%99ni-qorumaq-mumkun-deyil\/","title":{"rendered":"Rusiya B\u0259\u015f\u015far \u018fs\u0259d\u0259: Art\u0131q s\u0259ni qorumaq m\u00fcmk\u00fcn deyil"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u201cBu i\u015f m\u00fcmk\u00fcn deyil\u201d: Rusiya \u018fs\u0259d\u0259 d\u0259st\u0259k mexanizmini nec\u0259 dayand\u0131rd\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

M\u00fc\u0259llif: Konor Ekulz
\nM\u0259nb\u0259: Responsible Statecraft<\/em>
\n12 dekabr 2025
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014<\/p>\n

Ke\u00e7\u0259n ilin (2024) noyabr ay\u0131n\u0131n \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259 \u018fs\u0259d rejiminin qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda xeyli \u00fcmidl\u0259r vard\u0131. Suriyan\u0131n prezidenti B\u0259\u015f\u0259r \u018fs\u0259d S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131nda ke\u00e7iril\u0259n pan-\u0130slam sammitind\u0259 Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqin dig\u0259r liderl\u0259ri il\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131 i\u015ftirak etmi\u015fdi; bu, onun beyn\u0259lxalq m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259r arenas\u0131na qay\u0131d\u0131\u015f\u0131 yolunda m\u00fch\u00fcm add\u0131m say\u0131l\u0131rd\u0131. H\u0259min t\u0259dbird\u0259n sonra T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 prezidenti R\u0259c\u0259b Tayyib \u018frdo\u011fan \u2014 ill\u0259rl\u0259 \u018fs\u0259din devrilm\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir lider \u2014 jurnalistl\u0259r\u0259 bildirdi ki, Suriya lideri il\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fm\u0259y\u0259 \u00fcmid edir v\u0259 \u201cT\u00fcrkiy\u0259\u2013Suriya m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rini yenid\u0259n d\u00fczg\u00fcn m\u0259craya qaytarmaq\u201d ist\u0259yir.<\/p>\n

Bir aydan da az sonra, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259nin d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259diyi m\u00fcxalif q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rin D\u0259m\u0259\u015fq\u0259 do\u011fru son ir\u0259lil\u0259yi\u015f\u0259 ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir vaxtda, \u018fs\u0259d Rusiya t\u0259yyar\u0259si il\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259n qa\u00e7d\u0131. Bu hadis\u0259 bir \u00e7oxlar\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259\u0259cc\u00fcbl\u0259ndirdi. Lakin Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rq \u00fczr\u0259 t\u0259cr\u00fcb\u0259li analitik Nil Patrik \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bu, g\u00f6zl\u0259nilm\u0259z deyildi. O, yeni kitab\u0131 Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259tin iflas\u0131<\/em>nda izah etdiyi kimi, zahir\u0259n yenid\u0259n dir\u00e7\u0259lmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u0259n \u018fs\u0259d rejimi \u0259slind\u0259 i\u00e7i bo\u015f bir d\u00f6vl\u0259t qurulu\u015funa \u00e7evrilmi\u015fdi v\u0259 yaln\u0131z xarici himay\u0259darlar\u0131n tam d\u0259st\u0259yin\u0259 s\u00f6yk\u0259n\u0259r\u0259k ayaqda qal\u0131rd\u0131. H\u0259min himay\u0259darlar d\u0259st\u0259yi \u00e7\u0259k\u0259nd\u0259 is\u0259 \u018fs\u0259din qa\u00e7maqdan ba\u015fqa yolu qalmad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u018fs\u0259din devrilm\u0259sinin birinci ild\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcnd\u0259 RS<\/em> jurnal\u0131 Patrikl\u0259 m\u00fcsahib\u0259 apararaq, 50 illik bir s\u00fclal\u0259nin c\u0259mi bir ne\u00e7\u0259 h\u0259ft\u0259 \u0259rzind\u0259 nec\u0259 \u00e7\u00f6km\u0259sini daha yax\u015f\u0131 anlama\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131b. Bu m\u00fcsahib\u0259 ixtisar v\u0259 ayd\u0131nl\u0131q m\u0259qs\u0259dil\u0259 redakt\u0259 olunub.<\/p>\n

RS:<\/strong> Xarici m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259\u00e7il\u0259rin \u00e7oxu \u018fs\u0259d rejiminin s\u00fcqutu \u0259r\u0259f\u0259sind\u0259 onun z\u0259ifliyi bar\u0259d\u0259 hans\u0131 m\u00fch\u00fcm m\u0259qam\u0131 g\u00f6zd\u0259n qa\u00e7\u0131rm\u0131\u015fd\u0131?<\/p>\n

Patrik:<\/strong> Rejimin ya\u015famaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn s\u00f6yk\u0259ndiyi mexanizm son d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259 k\u00f6vr\u0259k idi. Bu, bilinirdi, amma y\u0259qin ki, rejimin \u2014 v\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n m\u0259nada d\u00f6vl\u0259tin \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcn \u2014 n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r z\u0259ifl\u0259diyi kifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259r n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 al\u0131nmam\u0131\u015fd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu, Suriyan\u0131n silahl\u0131 q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rinin qalan hiss\u0259l\u0259rinin dem\u0259k olar ki, \u201cail\u0259 m\u00fclkiyy\u0259ti\u201d kimi idar\u0259 olunmas\u0131n\u0131 da \u0259hat\u0259 edirdi \u2014 onlar\u0131n diqq\u0259ti \u00f6lk\u0259nin m\u00fcdafi\u0259si q\u0259d\u0259r, b\u0259lk\u0259 d\u0259 ondan daha \u00e7ox cinay\u0259t f\u0259aliyy\u0259tl\u0259rin\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259lmi\u015fdi. Bundan \u0259lav\u0259, yar\u0131-d\u00f6vl\u0259t xarakterli, t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik missiyas\u0131 q\u0259d\u0259r cinay\u0259t i\u015fl\u0259rin\u0259 d\u0259 qar\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f milisl\u0259r\u0259 artan as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131q vard\u0131; el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 qon\u015fu \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin, x\u00fcsusil\u0259 Livan \u201cHizbullah\u201d\u0131n\u0131n milisl\u0259rin\u0259, h\u0259m\u00e7inin \u0130ran v\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n k\u00f6m\u0259yin\u0259 a\u011f\u0131r y\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar\u0131 bir yer\u0259 qoyanda v\u0259 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259nin alternativ bir h\u00f6kum\u0259ti t\u0259\u015fviq etm\u0259kd\u0259 davam ed\u0259n mara\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alanda, \u00e7ox qeyri-t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259siz bir m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259 ortaya \u00e7\u0131x\u0131rd\u0131: B\u0259\u015f\u0259r prezident idi, amma real g\u00fccd\u0259n m\u0259hrum idi v\u0259 getdikc\u0259 daralan m\u00fctt\u0259fiql\u0259r \u015f\u0259b\u0259k\u0259sin\u0259 s\u00f6yk\u0259nirdi. T\u0259bii ki, hadis\u0259d\u0259n sonra h\u0259r \u015fey daha ayd\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr. M\u0259n \u00f6z\u00fcm d\u0259 bu q\u0259d\u0259r s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 \u00e7\u00f6k\u0259c\u0259yini g\u00f6zl\u0259mirdim. Amma hadis\u0259d\u0259n \u0259vv\u0259l d\u0259 v\u0259ziyy\u0259t son d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259 k\u00f6vr\u0259k idi.<\/p>\n

RS:<\/strong> Ordunun yerini t\u0259dric\u0259n alan bu qeyri-d\u00f6vl\u0259t milisl\u0259ri bar\u0259d\u0259 bir az daha \u0259trafl\u0131 dan\u0131\u015fa bil\u0259rsinizmi?<\/p>\n

Patrik:<\/strong> Bu, 2011-ci ild\u0259 daxili m\u00fcharib\u0259nin ilk ill\u0259rind\u0259n ba\u015flayan uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli bir proses idi; o vaxt rejim \u0259n h\u0259ssas v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259 idi. \u018fvv\u0259ld\u0259n m\u00f6vcud olan milisl\u0259r yenid\u0259n t\u0259\u015fkil olundu. Bunlar \u201c\u015e\u0259bbih\u0259\u201d adlanan, h\u0259l\u0259 v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015f m\u00fcharib\u0259sind\u0259n \u0259vv\u0259l d\u0259 cinay\u0259t f\u0259aliyy\u0259ti v\u0259 rejiml\u0259 yax\u0131n \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ri olan yerli qruplar idi. Daha sonra onlar \u2014 b\u0259zil\u0259rinin 2011-ci ild\u0259 demokratik v\u0259 real oldu\u011funu, lakin sonradan k\u0259nardan g\u0259l\u0259n islam\u00e7\u0131-cihad\u00e7\u0131 \u00fcns\u00fcrl\u0259rin t\u0259siri alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fd\u00fcy\u00fcn\u00fc dediyi \u2014 m\u00fcxalif q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6z b\u00f6lg\u0259l\u0259rinin m\u00fcdafi\u0259\u00e7il\u0259ri kimi bir araya g\u0259ldil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

Bir \u00e7ox bax\u0131mdan, Suriyan\u0131n milli birliyi d\u00f6vl\u0259tin s\u00fcqutundan xeyli \u0259vv\u0259l yar\u0131-d\u00f6vl\u0259t v\u0259 yar\u0131-m\u00fcst\u0259qil milisl\u0259r\u0259 h\u0259val\u0259 edilmi\u015fdi; h\u0259m cinay\u0259t f\u0259aliyy\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259, h\u0259m d\u0259 yerli rollarda i\u015ftirak ed\u0259n t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik \u015f\u0259b\u0259k\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259. Onlar\u0131n b\u0259zil\u0259ri xarici oyun\u00e7ulara \u2014 iranl\u0131lara v\u0259 ya ba\u015fqalar\u0131na \u2014 ba\u011fl\u0131 idi. Amma kitab\u0131mda qeyd etdiyim kimi, m\u0259n\u0259 deyildi ki, bu qruplar h\u0259min b\u00f6lg\u0259l\u0259rin \u00f6z insanlar\u0131ndan formala\u015fm\u0131\u015fd\u0131 v\u0259 buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 \u201cyerli \u0259halinin \u0259n etibarl\u0131 m\u00fcdafi\u0259\u00e7il\u0259ri\u201d say\u0131l\u0131rd\u0131lar. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259, d\u00f6vl\u0259tin \u00e7\u00f6km\u0259sind\u0259n \u0259vv\u0259l milli ruh ciddi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 z\u0259ifl\u0259mi\u015fdi.<\/p>\n

RS:<\/strong> Siz Suriyan\u0131n xarici g\u00fccl\u0259rin t\u0259siri il\u0259 doldu\u011funu vur\u011fulad\u0131n\u0131z. Kitabda Suriyan\u0131n ke\u00e7mi\u015f s\u0259firinin bir fikri diqq\u0259t \u00e7\u0259kir: \u018fs\u0259d \u0130ran\u0131n m\u00f6vcudlu\u011funu azaltma\u011fa v\u0259 m\u00fcxt\u0259lif q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259r aras\u0131nda tarazl\u0131q yaratma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rd\u0131. Bu tarazla\u015fd\u0131rma siyas\u0259tini izah ed\u0259 bil\u0259rsinizmi?<\/p>\n

Patrik:<\/strong> Burada \u018fs\u0259d ail\u0259sinin \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi siyas\u0259tind\u0259n \u2014 atas\u0131n\u0131n daha ustal\u0131qla etdiyi bir i\u015fd\u0259n \u2014 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n elementl\u0259r g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrd\u00fc: daxili q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 bir s\u0131ra bir-birin\u0259 zidd xarici amill\u0259r aras\u0131nda tarazl\u0131q yaratmaq c\u0259hdi. Amma B\u0259\u015f\u0259r atas\u0131ndan daha az t\u0259cr\u00fcb\u0259li idi. O, rejimini qorumaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ziddiyy\u0259tli oyun\u00e7ulardan istifad\u0259 edirdi \u2014 \u0259sas\u0259n ruslardan v\u0259 iranl\u0131lardan; onlar \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131q ets\u0259l\u0259r d\u0259, m\u0259qs\u0259dl\u0259ri f\u0259rqli idi.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 milli t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik v\u0259 regional n\u00fcfuzla ba\u011fl\u0131 idi. Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn is\u0259 daha m\u00fcr\u0259kk\u0259b amill\u0259r toplusu s\u00f6z m\u00f6vzusu idi, lakin bu, o d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 h\u0259yati deyildi. \u00dcst\u0259lik, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 d\u0259 vard\u0131 \u2014 Suriyan\u0131n \u015fimal\u0131n\u0131n b\u0259zi hiss\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 n\u0259zar\u0259t edirdi v\u0259 s\u0259rh\u0259d t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliyinin m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 Rusiya il\u0259 koordinasiya apar\u0131rd\u0131, \u0130ran is\u0259 \u00f6z q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259ri, Livan \u201cHizbullah\u201d\u0131 v\u0259 regiondak\u0131 dig\u0259r \u015fi\u0259 qruplar\u0131 vasit\u0259sil\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259 boyunca rolunu daha geni\u015f v\u0259 d\u0259rin \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 qururdu.<\/p>\n

Bu, son d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259 h\u0259ssas bir tarazl\u0131q idi. 2023-c\u00fc ilin oktyabr hadis\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n sonra regional m\u00fcharib\u0259 ba\u015flayanda, \u201cHizbullah\u201d v\u0259 \u0130ran Suriyan\u0131n bu qar\u015f\u0131durman\u0131n bir hiss\u0259si olaca\u011f\u0131na \u00fcmid edirdil\u0259r. Suriyan\u0131n b\u0259zi \u0259razil\u0259ri h\u0259qiq\u0259t\u0259n m\u00fcharib\u0259y\u0259 c\u0259lb olunsa da, Suriya r\u0259hb\u0259rliyi tam \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259y\u0259 girm\u0259k ist\u0259mirdi v\u0259 bunu \u2014 \u0259sas\u0259n K\u00f6rf\u0259z \u0259r\u0259b \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri vasit\u0259sil\u0259 \u2014 AB\u015e-a mesaj g\u00f6nd\u0259rm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bir f\u00fcrs\u0259t kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcrd\u00fc: \u201c\u00d6lk\u0259mi bu regional m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259n k\u0259narda saxlama\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131ram.\u201d<\/p>\n

Ail\u0259 rejimini qorumaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bu k\u00f6vr\u0259k s\u0259yl\u0259r sonda u\u011fursuz oldu. \u018fs\u0259d d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrd\u00fc ki, b\u00fct\u00fcn bu q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259ri eyni vaxtda idar\u0259 ed\u0259 bil\u0259r v\u0259 onlar\u0131n ham\u0131s\u0131 ona m\u00f6htacd\u0131r. Eyni zamanda, \u0130ranla m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri qoruyaraq, Q\u0259rb \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck qazanmaq m\u0259qs\u0259dil\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n m\u00f6vcudlu\u011funa t\u0259zyiq g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rd\u0131 \u2014 bu is\u0259 dem\u0259k olar ki, m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmayan bir tarazl\u0131q idi. M\u0259hz bu da sonda onun s\u00fcqutuna g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xard\u0131.<\/p>\n

RS:<\/strong> Siz \u0130srailin d\u0259 rol oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 qeyd etdiniz. Bu bar\u0259d\u0259 bir az daha dan\u0131\u015f\u0131n.<\/p>\n

Patrik:<\/strong> 2011-ci ild\u0259n b\u0259ri davam ed\u0259n daxili m\u00fcharib\u0259 d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259 \u0130srailin bax\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrd\u00fc: \u018fs\u0259d rejimini nisbi sabitlik amili kimi q\u0259bul etm\u0259kd\u0259n, onun getdikc\u0259 z\u0259ifl\u0259m\u0259sind\u0259n narahat olma\u011fa v\u0259 Suriyan\u0131n daxilind\u0259 dig\u0259r variantlar\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259n ke\u00e7irm\u0259y\u0259 do\u011fru. Rejimin real \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 \u00e7\u00f6k\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259yi ehtimal\u0131 daha a\u00e7\u0131q g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u0259nd\u0259, israillil\u0259r m\u00f6vqel\u0259rini uy\u011funla\u015fd\u0131rd\u0131lar.<\/p>\n

Onlar \u0259vv\u0259ll\u0259r d\u0259 Suriyada h\u00fccumlar h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irmi\u015fdil\u0259r, amma \u0259sas\u0259n \u0130ranla \u0259laq\u0259li h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259ri vururdular. 2024-c\u00fc ilin noyabr hadis\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 aparan aylarda is\u0259 Suriyaya m\u0259xsus h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259ri d\u0259 vurma\u011fa daha \u00e7ox meyl g\u00f6st\u0259rdil\u0259r. M\u0259nc\u0259, birba\u015fa m\u0259qs\u0259dl\u0259ri rejimi devirm\u0259k deyildi, amma h\u00fccumlar\u0131n say\u0131 artd\u0131 v\u0259 milli Suriya h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259rin\u0259 d\u0259 \u015famil olundu.<\/p>\n

\u0130srail m\u00fch\u00fcm m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nedici oyun\u00e7ulardan biri idi. Amma onlar\u0131n h\u0259qiq\u0259t\u0259n rejimi bu q\u0259d\u0259r asanl\u0131qla devir\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259rin\u0259 inan\u0131b-inanmad\u0131qlar\u0131 v\u0259 ya bu istiqam\u0259td\u0259 q\u0259ti q\u0259rar verib-verm\u0259dikl\u0259ri tam ayd\u0131n deyil.<\/p>\n

RS:<\/strong> Rusiya t\u0259sirli xarici g\u00fccl\u0259rd\u0259n biri idi. Kitabda Ukrayna m\u00fcharib\u0259sinin \u018fs\u0259d rejiminin s\u00fcqutundak\u0131 roluna toxunmusunuz. Bunu izah edin.<\/p>\n

Patrik:<\/strong> Rusiyan\u0131n rolu h\u0259lledici idi \u2014 x\u00fcsusil\u0259 onun hava q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259ri Suriya m\u00fcxalif\u0259tin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 son d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259 da\u011f\u0131d\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fccd\u0259n istifad\u0259 edirdi. Bir d\u00f6vl\u0259tin xarici bir \u00f6lk\u0259nin hava q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 arxalanmas\u0131 n\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259tin b\u00fct\u00f6vl\u00fcy\u00fc, n\u0259 d\u0259 r\u0259hb\u0259rliyin legitimliyi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn sa\u011flamd\u0131r; amma m\u00fcv\u0259qq\u0259ti olaraq lideri ayaqda saxlaya bil\u0259r. Bu, \u018fs\u0259d rejiminin ya\u015famas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn h\u0259yati \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t da\u015f\u0131y\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Lakin Ukrayna m\u00fcharib\u0259si Rusiyan\u0131n Suriyada \u0259sas rolunu qorumaq imkanlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltd\u0131. Moskva \u0259m\u0259liyyat ehtiyaclar\u0131 Ukraynada artd\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259vv\u0259lc\u0259 c\u0259nubda, sonra is\u0259 Suriyan\u0131n dig\u0259r b\u00f6lg\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 m\u00f6vcudlu\u011funu t\u0259dric\u0259n azaltd\u0131. Bu azalma rejimin artan k\u00f6vr\u0259kliyin\u0259 ciddi t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259rdi. N\u0259hay\u0259t, h\u0259tta Rusiyan\u0131n v\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n qalan imkanlar\u0131 da rejimi xilas etm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn s\u0259rf etm\u0259y\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k q\u0259d\u0259r \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli deyildi.<\/p>\n

Bir ne\u00e7\u0259 m\u0259nb\u0259 m\u0259n\u0259 dedi ki, Rusiya r\u0259hb\u0259rliyi \u2014 x\u00fcsusil\u0259 Putin \u2014 sonda \u018fs\u0259d\u0259 bel\u0259 deyib: \u201cBu i\u015f m\u00fcmk\u00fcn deyil.\u201d Ruslar faktiki olaraq onun v\u0259 rejimin bir s\u0131ra m\u00fch\u00fcm simalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131lmas\u0131nda \u0259sas rol oynad\u0131lar.<\/p>\n

B\u0259\u015f\u0259r \u2014 \u00f6z g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc ill\u00fcziya il\u0259 Suriyan\u0131n \u00f6z\u00fc il\u0259 eynil\u0259\u015fdir\u0259n bir lider \u2014 h\u0259tta ail\u0259 \u00fczvl\u0259ri, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n m\u00fch\u00fcm rol oynayan qarda\u015f\u0131 il\u0259 bel\u0259 hakimiyy\u0259ti b\u00f6l\u00fc\u015fm\u0259y\u0259 haz\u0131r deyildi. Bu da rejimin s\u00fcqutunda m\u00fch\u00fcm rol oynad\u0131. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259, bir s\u0131ra oyun\u00e7ular \u2014 iranl\u0131lar, ruslar v\u0259 daha sonra t\u00fcrkl\u0259r \u2014 bel\u0259 q\u0259na\u0259t\u0259 g\u0259ldil\u0259r ki, \u201cbu rejimi qoruma\u011fa d\u0259ym\u0259z\u201d.<\/p>\n

RS:<\/strong> \u018fs\u0259din devrilm\u0259sind\u0259n art\u0131q bir il ke\u00e7ib. Sizc\u0259, yeni prezident \u018fhm\u0259d \u0259\u015f-\u015eara d\u00f6vl\u0259tin potensial\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259 d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 b\u0259rpa ed\u0259 bilib?<\/p>\n

Patrik:<\/strong> Bu g\u00fcn qar\u015f\u0131la\u015fd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z v\u0259ziyy\u0259t, \u018fs\u0259d rejiminin s\u00fcqutu an\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 daha \u00e7ox d\u00f6vl\u0259t tutumuna malikdir. M\u0259nim fikrimc\u0259, ke\u00e7\u0259n il t\u0259kc\u0259 rejim deyil, d\u00f6vl\u0259tin \u00f6z\u00fc d\u0259 \u00e7\u00f6km\u00fc\u015fd\u00fc. Milli b\u00fct\u00f6vl\u00fcy\u00fcn v\u0259 imkanlar\u0131n qal\u0131qlar\u0131 o q\u0259d\u0259r z\u0259if idi ki, asanl\u0131qla da\u011f\u0131lm\u0131\u015fd\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130ndi hakimiyy\u0259tin ba\u015f\u0131nda bir prezident var v\u0259 ke\u00e7mi\u015f silahl\u0131 q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rin b\u0259zi qal\u0131qlar\u0131 ona m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r s\u0259daq\u0259t g\u00f6st\u0259rir; bu da d\u00f6vl\u0259t potensial\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 m\u00f6vcudlu\u011funa i\u015far\u0259 edir. Amma bir \u00e7ox hallarda B\u0259\u015f\u0259rin istifad\u0259 etdiyi milis modeli bu g\u00fcnk\u00fc Suriyada yeni simalarla t\u0259krar olunur. Tam g\u00fccl\u00fc d\u00f6vl\u0259t q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259ri m\u00f6vcud deyil; bunun \u0259v\u0259zin\u0259, d\u00f6vl\u0259t\u0259 m\u0259hdud s\u0259daq\u0259ti olan g\u00fccl\u00fc yar\u0131-d\u00f6vl\u0259t milisl\u0259r toplusu var.<\/p>\n

Bu, prezident \u0259\u015f-\u015earan\u0131n f\u0259aliyy\u0259t g\u00f6st\u0259rdiyi m\u00fchitdir. O, h\u0259l\u0259 klassik d\u00f6vl\u0259t n\u0259z\u0259riyy\u0259sind\u0259 deyildiyi kimi, \u201czorak\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n legitim istifad\u0259si \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 inhisar\u0131\u201d tam \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 \u0259lind\u0259 saxlam\u0131r. Buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259ri imkan daxilind\u0259 qorumaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn par\u00e7alanm\u0131\u015f milis qruplar\u0131na v\u0259 ke\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6vl\u0259t q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rinin qal\u0131qlar\u0131na s\u00f6yk\u0259n\u0259n bir r\u0259hb\u0259rlik n\u00fcmayi\u015f etdirir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cBu i\u015f m\u00fcmk\u00fcn deyil\u201d: Rusiya \u018fs\u0259d\u0259 d\u0259st\u0259k mexanizmini nec\u0259 dayand\u0131rd\u0131 M\u00fc\u0259llif: Konor Ekulz M\u0259nb\u0259: Responsible Statecraft 12 dekabr 2025 \u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014 Ke\u00e7\u0259n ilin (2024) noyabr ay\u0131n\u0131n \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259 \u018fs\u0259d rejiminin qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda xeyli \u00fcmidl\u0259r vard\u0131. Suriyan\u0131n prezidenti B\u0259\u015f\u0259r \u018fs\u0259d S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131nda ke\u00e7iril\u0259n pan-\u0130slam sammitind\u0259 Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqin dig\u0259r liderl\u0259ri il\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131 i\u015ftirak etmi\u015fdi; bu, onun beyn\u0259lxalq m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259r arenas\u0131na qay\u0131d\u0131\u015f\u0131 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1753,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_locale":"az","_original_post":"https:\/\/anlamtv.com\/?p=1798","custom_author_name":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[74],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1798","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-box","az"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/anlamtv.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1798","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/anlamtv.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/anlamtv.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anlamtv.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anlamtv.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1798"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/anlamtv.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1798\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1799,"href":"https:\/\/anlamtv.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1798\/revisions\/1799"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anlamtv.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1753"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/anlamtv.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1798"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anlamtv.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1798"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anlamtv.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1798"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}